Hey guys, due to the 4th Johto Arena being such a big roadblock, (I mean, leveling to level 30+ with level 10-15 wild pokemon? srsly?), i decide to level and[/hr] farm for Heracross in the National Park. Meanwhile, i would take notes on the encounter rates of the wild pokemon there. This is the result, a list of pokemon i encountered and their quantity, until i finally found a Heracross. Starting at 04:00 ingame time, been farming until 19:00 ingame time:
Pokemon / Encounters / expected rarity / ratio
Caterpie / 54 / abundant / 30%
Sunkern / 48 / abundant / 27%
Pidgey / 48 / abundant / 27%
Metapod / 13 / common / 7,2%
Kakuna / 6 / common / 3,3%
Cherubi / 5 / uncommon / 2,7%
Weedle / 4 / common / 2,2%
Pineco / 1 / rare / 0,6%
Heracross / 1 / rare / 0,6%
Total Pokemon: 180
Even though i only found one Pineco and one Heracross, i might give Heracross a higher rarity, since i found Pineco way earlier (and stopped searching after finding Heracross.)
I also tried to calculate my "unluck"; based on the expected rarity ratio of 1/150 for Heracross.
Since Heracross was the 180th Pokemon to encounter, i would rate my unluck, on a scale from 1 to 100: 58,3
Don't ask how i calculated that, it's just to prove a point to my unluckiness ;)
Better luck next time! Gotta catch 'em all!
gl and hf.
Sauerbauer