Auction Predictor - Guess the Final Price

Had this little game idea that I thought could be fun for everyone to get involved with. It’s pretty simple. Guess what price range you think an auction will end at. I’ll put up a poll with different ranges, you make your pick, and whoever lands in the correct range when the auction finishes wins the prize. If more than one person gets it right, the prize is just split evenly between the winners.

Example: Shiny Docile Charmander

Where does it end?

Under 20m
20m - 21m
21m - 22m
22m - 23m
23m - 24m
24m - 25m
25m - 26m

And so on.

What about people trying to manipulate the result?

I know someone will probably ask this, so I might as well mention it. Could somebody try some dirty tactic and deliberately influence the auction so it finishes inside the range they picked? Technically, you could probably come up with all sorts of scenarios if you think about it hard enough, but realistically I just don’t see it being worth doing. The auctions I’d choose for these games would generally be the more interesting, high-value ones that come up from time to time. Shinies, special forms, rare Pokémon and things like that. Those auctions can already be quite unpredictable because their value is often speculative and it really depends on who’s interested and who’s bidding at the time. More importantly, the prize for winning one of these games would be nowhere near the value being thrown around in the actual auction. Say a Shiny is sitting at 50m and you’ve got a few people competing for it. Is somebody really going to be sitting there thinking: “Right, I need to keep this within my poll range so I can win that 100k prize". I really don’t think so. When people are bidding millions against each other for a Pokémon they actually want, a small side prize from a guessing game isn’t realistically going to dictate how they bid. The values just aren’t comparable.

Obviously you can look deeply into anything and come up with ways somebody could try to game it, but that’s really not the spirit of this. It’s just meant to be a simple bit of fun alongside some of the more interesting auctions. Make your prediction, watch the auction play out and see who called it right. For now, this is just a concept I had that I thought could be fun for everyone to play. I’ll open up one of these games on the forum from time to time whenever I spot an auction that looks interesting enough for it. Just another community game to have some fun with.

Edited 42 minutes ago42 min by Lacomus